name: 需求感知集成器 description: 实时需求感知技能，整合POS数据、市场信号和外部因素，实现响应式规划 allowed-tools:
- Read
- Write
- Glob
- Grep
- Bash
- WebFetch metadata: specialization: 物流 domain: 商业 category: 分析 priority: 中等
需求感知集成器
概述
需求感知集成器通过整合POS数据、市场信号和外部因素，提供实时需求感知能力，实现响应式规划。它能够根据变化的需求模式，进行短期预测优化和快速的库存重新配置。
能力
- POS数据整合: 整合销售点数据，实现实时需求可视化
- 社交媒体信号处理: 监控社交媒体，获取需求指标和趋势检测
- 天气影响建模: 纳入天气预报及其对需求的影响
- 事件驱动的需求调整: 根据本地和全球事件调整需求预期
- 短期预测优化: 使用实时信号优化近期预测
- 库存重新配置触发器: 根据需求变化生成库存重新配置警报
- 促销响应跟踪: 跟踪实际促销响应与计划提升的对比
工具和库
- POS集成API
- 社交监听API
- 天气API
- 机器学习模型（需求感知）
使用流程
- 需求预测
- 再订货点计算
- 多渠道履约
用法
skill: demand-sensing-integrator
inputs:
item:
sku: "SKU001"
category: "户外家具"
locations: ["STORE001", "STORE002", "DC001"]
real_time_data:
pos_sales_last_7_days:
- date: "2026-01-18"
units: 45
- date: "2026-01-19"
units: 52
- date: "2026-01-20"
units: 48
- date: "2026-01-21"
units: 65
- date: "2026-01-22"
units: 78
- date: "2026-01-23"
units: 82
- date: "2026-01-24"
units: 95
external_factors:
weather_forecast:
location: "东北地区"
forecast: "异常温暖"
temperature_variance: "+15F"
duration_days: 7
events:
- event: "家居装饰展"
location: "波士顿"
dates: ["2026-01-25", "2026-01-26", "2026-01-27"]
expected_impact: 1.3
baseline_forecast:
next_7_days: [50, 50, 55, 52, 48, 45, 45]
outputs:
demand_signals:
trend: "加速"
trend_strength: "强劲"
signals_detected:
- signal: "天气驱动需求"
confidence: 92
impact_factor: 1.45
- signal: "事件临近"
confidence: 78
impact_factor: 1.15
- signal: "积极销售趋势"
confidence: 95
impact_factor: 1.25
adjusted_forecast:
next_7_days: [105, 115, 125, 110, 95, 75, 65]
adjustment_factor: 1.67
confidence: 85
inventory_alerts:
- location: "STORE001"
current_inventory: 25
projected_demand_7_days: 85
stockout_risk: "高"
recommended_action: "紧急补货"
transfer_from: "DC001"
quantity: 75
- location: "STORE002"
current_inventory: 40
projected_demand_7_days: 70
stockout_risk: "中等"
recommended_action: "增加补货"
promotional_tracking:
active_promotions: []
organic_demand_increase: true
集成点
- 销售点系统
- 电子商务平台
- 天气服务
- 社交媒体API
- 需求规划系统
性能指标
- 预测准确性改进
- 信号检测准确性
- 库存重新配置有效性
- 缺货预防率
- 对需求变化的响应时间